Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 5.340186 5.812632 6.340120 6.979729 7.744262 8.642344 9.798634
2025-01-12 4.552298 5.120710 5.796192 6.677837 7.830879 9.341045 11.574938
2025-01-19 3.975221 4.572924 5.314861 6.337244 7.772294 9.834372 13.314766
2025-01-26 3.775790 4.454395 5.340085 6.643270 8.646787 11.926162 18.769058
2025-02-02 3.719805 4.507702 5.593965 7.318208 10.289175 16.134855 33.901414
2025-02-09 3.567189 4.408625 5.617440 7.655146 11.528096 20.671298 67.755077
2025-02-16 3.406335 4.277067 5.570980 7.867711 12.646560 26.344266 220.862606
2025-02-23 3.235164 4.111087 5.446937 7.917635 13.469067 32.727324 NaN
2025-03-02 3.015702 3.853244 5.145958 7.583808 13.273376 35.212472 NaN
2025-03-09 2.869191 3.693798 4.987894 7.496362 13.685591 42.044394 NaN
2025-03-16 2.690491 3.472325 4.706055 7.119632 13.190014 42.880132 NaN
2025-03-23 2.599951 3.381035 4.634635 7.158779 13.912517 55.770180 NaN
2025-03-30 2.487967 3.260366 4.521671 7.139026 14.634977 78.889160 NaN
2025-04-06 2.348621 3.088087 4.304822 6.863887 14.427743 92.400790 NaN
2025-04-13 2.213676 2.915691 4.075356 6.531572 13.914187 98.903582 NaN
2025-04-20 2.182100 2.907564 4.138212 6.874110 16.163823 449.148463 NaN
2025-04-27 2.193828 2.970778 4.339406 7.609380 21.248549 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.159927 2.954614 4.388539 7.983426 25.549876 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.114297 2.914796 4.386488 8.221853 29.854614 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.056676 2.850165 4.327517 8.282366 33.177343 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.969708 2.729298 4.143100 7.925324 31.666565 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.910237 2.654275 4.048566 7.833661 33.164923 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.829983 2.538992 3.862840 7.428659 30.479729 NaN NaN